Counter-Revolutionary Strategy and Alliance Stability: 2026 Local Government Elections, 2027 ANC National Conference, and 2029 National Elections
By George Tsibani:
An observation of local politics suggests that the principal threat to South Africa’s incomplete National Democratic Revolution (NDR) is twofold: external substitution and internal fragmentation. The substitution strategy seeks to replace the African National Congress (ANC) with emergent black political parties characterised by ideological incoherence and organisational ephemerality (ANC 2012: 7). The fragmentation strategy cultivates chaos within the ANC by privileging parochial and self-interested agendas.
This dynamic is captured by the isiXhosa proverb sizelelwe yinja endlini, loosely translated as “we have fed the dog inside the house”, denoting betrayal from within (Nyembezi 1992: 84). The proverb finds resonanc...
